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Book Title: What to Expect When No One's Expecting: America's Coming Demographic Disaster|
The author of the book: Jonathan V. Last
Date of issue: February 5th 2013
ISBN 13: 9781594036415
Format files: PDF
The size of the: 2.64 MB
Edition: Encounter Books
Read full description of the books What to Expect When No One's Expecting: America's Coming Demographic Disaster:We’ve been told for decades that the world has too many people, that overpopulation is the great peril of our age. Thanks to people like Tom Friedman, we take it as an article of faith that the earth is hot, flat, and crowded—that we are on the verge of a population “explosion.”
It’s all nonsense. In fact, the reverse is true. We are on the brink of a demographic implosion. For the first time in centuries, the world faces population decline. And this time, it’s not because of wars, famines, or plagues. It’s because people have simply stopped having babies.
In demographics, the replacement rate is the golden number: 2.1. When women average fewer than 2.1 children, Very Bad Things happen. And American women have not hit the replacement rate in two generations. Today, middle-class, college-educated women in America have about the same number of children as do Chinese women. China’s government bullies, taxes, and punishes their people with a “One-Child Policy.” In America, we do one-child by choice.
The fertility decline already shapes the way we live. From Social Security shortfalls to Iran’s attempts to build nuclear weapons, fertility is the key to understanding the world around us. Fertility undergirds our politics and our laws; our culture and our economy. If you’re under 40, fertility declines will dictate how you navigate old age. If you’re under 10, fertility declines will influence your entire adult life. If we don’t reverse this trend, economic systems will suffer, international affairs will be reordered, and innovation will slow in every sector—except, of course, for healthcare.
What to Expect When No One's Expecting explores how our fertility collapse happened, what the world it’s creating will look like, and what can be done to stop it.
Read information about the authorJonathan V. Last is a senior writer at The Weekly Standard in Washington. His writings have been featured in The Wall Street Journal, The Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The New York Post, The Claremont Review of Books, First Things, The Week, Salon, Slate, TV Guide, and elsewhere.
He lives in Virginia with his wife and two children.
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